'One of the best elections for the polls in a long time': How pollsters predicted federal election outcome

Mark Carney’s Liberal Party achieved a victory in the April 29, 2025 federal election, securing 168 seats to form a minority government, while the Conservatives obtained 144 seats. Despite some initial skepticism about polling accuracy, the final results closely matched predictions, with the Liberals receiving 43.7% of the popular vote and the Conservatives 41.3%. Poll analysts noted that the election’s polling performance was among the best in recent years, despite earlier doubts raised by Conservative supporters about the reliability of the polls.

Full Article