Northern areas of the U.S., including parts of Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Dakota, and the northern Great Lakes, have the best chances for a white Christmas, with at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on Dec. 25. The probability decreases as you move west and south, with cities like Minneapolis-St. Paul having a higher likelihood compared to southern states. Historical data from NOAA shows areas near Canada and the East have higher chances, while southern states have the lowest likelihood.
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