Rising US-Iran tensions, exacerbated by military buildup in the Middle East and threats from President Trump against Iranian leadership, heighten the risk of war. The US demands Iran dismantle its nuclear and missile programs, which Tehran views as a threat to its regime, making negotiations unlikely. Any US military action could destabilize Iran, potentially leading to consolidating power within the IRGC or civil conflict. The US may also seek to exploit internal dissent by supporting armed groups opposed to the Iranian government.
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