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In a secret Ministry of Defence archive, military planners prepare for the possibility of America leaving Nato, prompting concerns over the credibility of deterrence against Russian aggression. President Trump’s unpredictability has raised doubts about the US’s commitment to defending allies, leading to discussions about potential scenarios and the need for increased defense spending to fill the void left by a potential US withdrawal from European security commitments. The looming threat of a US pivot towards the Indo-Pacific region due to the rise of China has forced military planners to consider the implications of a reduced American presence in Europe.
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