A new analysis published in The Lancet suggests that deaths from bombs and traumatic injuries in Gaza during the first nine months of the war may have been underestimated by more than 40 percent, with a total death toll of 64,300 rather than the reported 37,900. The study, led by epidemiologists at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, used statistical modeling to estimate casualties, finding that 59 percent of the dead were women, children, and the elderly. The analysis, which has a confidence interval between 55,298 and 78,525, used a method called capture-recapture analysis to compile data from various sources, including the Palestinian Ministry of Health and social media obituaries, to arrive at their total casualty figure.
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