Israel’s longstanding assumptions about Lebanon have repeatedly proven misguided, from hopes of a peace treaty in the 1980s to the notion that maintaining a southern buffer zone would ensure security. Despite ongoing rocket fire from Hezbollah, Israeli officials acknowledge that Lebanon’s government has failed to disarm the group, and the military’s current strategy involves deploying troops to create a barrier against further aggression. However, past experiences suggest that a prolonged military presence may foster resentment and resistance among the local population.
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