Almost 20 months after the October 7, 2023 massacre, Israel faces a critical decision: pursue a deal for hostage return and humanitarian relief or escalate military action against Hamas. Prime Minister Netanyahu is caught between far-right coalition pressures and international demands for peace, with Trump warning of abandonment if the war continues. A deal could lead to regional integration and reconstruction, yet Netanyahu’s political survival may hinge on ongoing conflict, despite its likely futility and the risk of further casualties.