The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is set to begin on June 1, with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) preparing to release its seasonal outlook. The season will last until November 30, with peak activity typically occurring from August to October. NOAA’s outlook will be updated throughout the summer to reflect changes in storm forecasts. A storm is named when maximum sustained winds reach 39 mph and classified as a hurricane at 74 mph, with major hurricanes starting at 111 mph. Last year’s season recorded 13 named storms, including five hurricanes, four of which were major, which is slightly below the average. The upcoming season may be influenced by the transition into El Niño, which is associated with fewer Atlantic storms.
Why It Matters
NOAA’s hurricane forecasts are important for coastal communities as they help prepare for potential weather threats. Historically, the average Atlantic hurricane season sees 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. The prediction accuracy of NOAA plays a crucial role in disaster preparedness and response. Moreover, the ongoing El Niño transition may shift storm activity patterns, impacting both the Atlantic and Pacific hurricane seasons, and highlighting the complexity of climate influences on weather events.
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