Nuclear Deterrence and Negotiation in the Middle East

After a 12-day conflict between Iran and Israel, Tehran faces a critical decision: pursue nuclear militarization for deterrence or negotiate with the West to avoid further conflict. With weakened proxy groups and stalled nuclear talks, Iran must weigh the risks of nuclear development, which could provoke more intense Israeli attacks, against adopting a strategy of nuclear ambiguity that could lead to ongoing warfare and domestic unrest.

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