Limitations of xG in Evaluating Team Performance

Aston Villa’s Morgan Rogers scored a free-kick goal against Leeds United, despite an xG of just 0.11. The xG statistic has faced scrutiny after only matching results in three of ten Premier League matches last weekend, highlighting discrepancies like Manchester United’s higher xG despite their loss. While xG aims to assess team performance over time, it often underestimates set-piece success and doesn’t account for individual player quality. Current trends show teams capitalizing on set-pieces and creating long-range shots, complicating the xG narrative.

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