Portugal’s ruling centre-right Democratic Alliance (AD), led by Prime Minister Luis Montenegro, is projected to win the most votes in an early parliamentary election but lacks a full majority, indicating potential political instability. Following Montenegro’s failure to secure a confidence vote due to allegations regarding his family’s consultancy, the election revealed the AD receiving between 29% and 35.1% of the vote, while the centre-left Socialist Party and far-right Chega party closely trailed. With the AD potentially securing 85-96 seats in the 230-seat parliament, the formation of a minority government or coalition with smaller parties is anticipated, amidst ongoing public frustration and political uncertainty.