The Nationals’ exit from the Coalition is influenced by One Nation’s rising support, which recently reached 22%, surpassing the Coalition’s 21%. This split, framed by the Nationals as a response to policy disagreements, is also seen as a strategy to appeal to conservative rural voters and avoid losing seats to One Nation, particularly in Queensland. The decision could weaken the Coalition and bolster the Labor Party, which leads by 55% to 45% in recent polling. Additionally, the Nationals opposed a law targeting extremist groups, prompting tensions within the Coalition.
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