Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is facing a significant political challenge due to a disagreement within his coalition regarding the exemption of ultra-Orthodox Jews from military service. This disagreement has created a risk of the coalition collapsing, as members are divided on whether the exemption should continue.
The situation represents the most serious threat to Netanyahu’s leadership since the Gaza war, with polls showing a decline in support for him. If the coalition falls apart, new elections are likely, and current polling suggests Netanyahu would not win.
A new government led by centrists may not significantly change the approach to the Gaza war but could be more open to involving the Palestinian leadership in Gaza post-war, potentially improving relations with Saudi Arabia. The ultra-Orthodox exemption from military service has been a contentious issue, leading to resentment and anger among other Israelis.
The Supreme Court’s decision to suspend educational subsidies for seminary students who fail to respond to military call-ups has sparked outrage among ultra-Orthodox leaders, who fear mandatory military service could be next.
The ongoing standoff reflects a long-standing battle over the character of the Jewish state, with secular and ultra-Orthodox communities clashing over religious autonomy and military service. The growing number of soldiers questioning the exemption for the ultra-Orthodox has added to the tension in Israeli society.
Despite the opposition to mandatory military service, a compromise is being discussed to address the issue. The possibility of a financial shortfall for Haredi schools has increased the urgency of finding a resolution to the exemption dilemma.
The Haredi leadership faces a difficult decision on whether to remain in the coalition or risk elections that could lead to a more secular government. While the financial impact on Haredi schools is concerning, staying in the coalition may offer the community more influence over potential solutions to their funding shortfall.
