Iran’s current negotiation stance with the U.S. mirrors a missed opportunity from mid-2025, where a nuclear enrichment freeze could have been exchanged for sanctions relief. However, following significant military setbacks, including the destruction of its nuclear program and a severe crackdown on domestic protests, Iran’s leverage has diminished. Analysts suggest that the regime is in denial about its weakened position, potentially leading to miscalculations regarding U.S. intentions. Without substantial concessions, Iran risks further escalation or military action from the U.S.
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