BEN MORGAN: Russian opportunity near Pokrovsk, can they capitalise on it?

Despite ongoing fighting along the frontline, there were minimal changes last week with both sides attacking and defending without significant territorial gains. Russia’s focus on capturing Pokrovsk or Chasiv Yar persists, as these towns are strategically important. Ukraine aims to inflict attrition on Russia to counter its material advantage, while Russia maneuvers to maintain its strength before its war stocks are depleted by 2025/26. The tactical situation involves Russia probing to envelop Pokrovsk from the south and north, with potential options to widen the frontage or advance across open farmland for a decisive move.

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