The Congressional Budget Office projects worsening US federal deficits and rising debt due to increased spending on Social Security, Medicare, and debt service payments, with the deficit reaching 5.8% of GDP in 2026 and averaging 6.1% over the next decade. Factors such as the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” higher tariffs, and immigration crackdown contribute to a $100bn higher deficit in 2026 and $1.4 trillion larger deficits from 2026 to 2035, leading to a debt-to-GDP ratio of 120%. CBO forecasts lower economic growth than the Trump administration, with inflation not hitting the Federal Reserve’s target until 2030, emphasizing the need for policymakers to address the issue promptly.
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