The Middle East is undergoing a strategic fracturing, particularly around the Bab al-Mandeb chokepoint, crucial for global trade and oil flow. Recent events, including Israel’s recognition of Somaliland and Emirati maneuvers in Yemen, have strained Saudi-UAE relations, revealing divergent priorities. As military presences in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea increase, risks to maritime stability rise, potentially leading to proxy conflicts. This fragmentation not only threatens regional order but also echoes the destabilization seen in Libya and Syria.
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