Rafał Trzaskowski, the pro-EU candidate and mayor of Warsaw, is projected to narrowly win the first round of Poland’s presidential election with 30.8% of the vote, edging out opposition candidate Karol Nawrocki at 29.1%. This tight race, which leads to a run-off on June 1, poses challenges for Trzaskowski in mobilizing progressive voters. Nawrocki, chosen by ultraconservative leader Jarosław Kaczyński, aims to broaden the Law and Justice party’s appeal, while Tusk hopes a Trzaskowski victory will unlock stalled reforms and strengthen Poland’s pro-EU stance.
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